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World: Club Friendlies
World: Club Friendlies
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

World: Club Friendlies

Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ

Hockey
Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
2 : 1
Finished
Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ

Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ go head-to-head with Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ on August 6, 2026 in the World: Club Friendlies.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ β€” 50%

1 Β· Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ50.2%
2 Β· Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ49.8%

Model estimate: win Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 50.2%, win Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 49.8%. Model favourite β€” Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ (odds1.99) Score 3:2 confidence 50% βœ“ outcome correct
  • Model backs Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) β€” informational only
  • Expected score 3:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ August 6, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ.

Line favourite Fonbet: Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 6.80 / 2 3.60
  • Glicko: Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 50.2% / X - / Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 49.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5% 2 books
1 52.7%
X 21.7%
2 25.6%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
56%
1.75
Draw
21%
6.80
Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
23%
98.00
Total
Over 5.5
43%
10.00
Under 5.5
57%
1.58

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 69.4% @ 1.04 / X 10.6% @ 6.80 / 2 20.0% @ 3.60
πŸ₯Š Humans vs Machines
πŸ“ Math model Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 50%
πŸ’Ή Market Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff Β· public log
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Match center

Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Form espn, Flashscore, Championat
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Line bookiesapi hockey prematch, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 50.2% fact: home hit / Brier 0.496 / LogLoss 0.689
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 50.1% fact: home hit / Brier 0.499 / LogLoss 0.692
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - 50.2% model pick
Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - 49.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Liberets πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ / Mlada Boleslav πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 market consensus Β· weak value +79.2% Β· model 49.8%
X 6.80 Fonbet Β· line only
1 1.04 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 50.2%
Handicap
2 -1 2.30 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 5.30 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 1.55 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +1 1.12 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 3 1.12 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
1.10 90.9%
1.55 64.5%
3.40 29.4%
2.12 47.2%
5.10 19.6%
3.85 26.0%
5.50 18.2%
1.01 99.0%
5.30 18.9%
5.90 17.0%
2.30 43.5%
1.27 78.7%
1.64 61.0%
1.13 88.5%
1.22 82.0%
1.11 90.1%
13.00 7.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 3 1.12 89.3%
Over 3.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 4 1.30 76.9%
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 5 1.77 56.5%
Over 5.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 6 2.70 37.0%
Over 6.5 7.00 14.3%
Over 7 4.40 22.7%
Over 7.5 6.90 14.5%
Under 2.5 5.60 17.9%
Under 3 5.30 18.9%
Under 3.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 4 3.20 31.3%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 5 1.93 51.8%
Under 5.5 1.03 97.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
1.04 96.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
X 6.80 14.7% 4.25 23.5% 4.25 23.5%
98.00 1.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%