Post-比赛 / PropickAI database
比分
3:0
Events
0
统计数据
0
阵容
0
Set
Nilton Lins
Remo
结果
Set 1
25
21
25:21
Set 2
27
25
27:25
Set 3
25
18
25:18
PropickAI 核验：数学模型与 Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the 模型 passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
信号
预测 / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base 热门
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form
home - 67.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 35.0% / Brier 0.213 / LogLoss 0.395
Glicko-2: calibrated 热门
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form
home - 55.2% fact: home
hit / ROI 35.0% / Brier 0.401 / LogLoss 0.594
Glicko-2: public filter
Watch
caution: sets and 分 are still being collected
Data: form
home - 55.2% fact: home
hit / ROI 35.0% / Brier 0.401 / LogLoss 0.594
Glicko-2: precision filter
Watch
caution: sets and 分 are still being collected
Data: form
home - 55.2% fact: home
hit / ROI 35.0% / Brier 0.401 / LogLoss 0.594
市场与Glicko
排球数学模型.
The volleyball 模型 accounts for the winner, set 比分 and 分: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and 市场 totals.
结果
盘口
Glicko
信号
Nilton Lins
68.8%
67.3%
市场与模型一致
Remo
31.2%
32.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2是一项球队实力评级：它综合权衡盘口、历史与稳定性，但并非保证。
排球数学模型
P1 / P2
67.3% / 32.7%
probabilities
Rating
1,632 / 1,528
Nilton Lins / Remo
RD
291 / 236
评级不确定性
r +/- 2RD
1,051-2,213 / 1,055-2,000
实力区间
HFA: 35
HFA mu: 0.201
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score
最佳价值：
未发现价值
The volleyball 模型 accounts for the winner, set 比分 and 分: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and 市场 totals.
投注快照
1X2
2
2.50
Fonbet · no value · 模型 32.7%
1
1.47
Fonbet · no value · 模型 67.3%
Total
大 174.5
1.63
Fonbet · 盘口 only
大 176.5
1.65
Fonbet · 盘口 only
投注提示基于盘口、市场及我们的数学模型生成：仅在模型与市场一致时才采纳信号。
